Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.190724 0.228512 0.269022 0.315387 0.366696 0.421466 0.484074
2025-02-23 0.133504 0.182707 0.239757 0.309568 0.391509 0.483535 0.593604
2025-03-02 0.089009 0.141170 0.206877 0.292726 0.399088 0.523937 0.678979
2025-03-09 0.065218 0.119507 0.193387 0.295550 0.427840 0.588568 0.793879
2025-03-16 0.044690 0.096890 0.174256 0.287666 0.440983 0.633369 0.885496
2025-03-23 0.035196 0.088205 0.172442 0.301555 0.481677 0.712906 1.021323
2025-03-30 0.025046 0.075213 0.161774 0.301179 0.502278 0.766589 1.125472
2025-04-06 0.017790 0.064903 0.153237 0.302306 0.523971 0.821423 1.231577
2025-04-13 0.013222 0.058330 0.149576 0.309872 0.554301 0.887854 1.353457
2025-04-20 0.010003 0.053468 0.147940 0.319986 0.588119 0.959281 1.482734
2025-04-27 0.007351 0.048689 0.145519 0.328238 0.619028 1.027003 1.607902
2025-05-04 0.004681 0.041864 0.137713 0.326510 0.634415 1.073123 1.704582
2025-05-11 0.003115 0.037659 0.134755 0.333114 0.663206 1.139431 1.830850
2025-05-18 0.001694 0.032015 0.127390 0.331105 0.678294 1.186503 1.931723
2025-05-25 0.000569 0.024556 0.113627 0.315755 0.671149 1.201091 1.987964
2025-06-01 0.000239 0.021633 0.110519 0.320041 0.695449 1.261419 2.107965
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.017238 0.101902 0.312483 0.699640 1.291986 2.186643
2025-06-15 0.000009 0.016622 0.104427 0.327588 0.742031 1.379743 2.346506
2025-06-22 NaN 0.014045 0.099864 0.327450 0.758400 1.428726 2.452099
2025-06-29 NaN 0.011976 0.096219 0.328790 0.777105 1.481306 2.563198
2025-07-06 NaN 0.010871 0.095722 0.336871 0.807604 1.552084 2.700862
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010136 0.096432 0.347602 0.842895 1.630501 2.850051
2025-07-20 NaN 0.009272 0.096304 0.356343 0.874779 1.704031 2.992834